Analisis Bahaya Kegempaan Di Wilayah Provinsi Sulawesi Utara
Keywords:
psha, pga, fault, subduksi, backgroundAbstract
Pada penelitian ini digunakan model probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) untuk mengambarakan kontribusi peak ground acceleration (PGA) di wilayah Provinsi Sulawesi Utara. Sumber gempa subduksi, fault dan background diterapakan dalam perhitungan PSHA. Adapaun Model gridded seismicity diterpakan untuk mengakarkterisasi model background source berdasarakan seismicity rate pada setip grid berukuran 10 x 10 derajat. Hasil yang diperoleh adalah kontribusi PGA di di Provinsi Sulawesi Utara untuk probabilitas terlewati 10% dalam 50 tahun pada kondisi T = 0 detik sebesar 0.5 g - 0.7, T = 0.2 detik sebesar 1.4 g - 1.5 g dan T = 1 detik sebesar 0.6 g - 0.7 g.
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References
Central Agency of Statistics. (2020). North Sulawesi Province in Figures 2020. ISBN: 0215-2274.
Zhang Q, Guo F, Zhao L, Wu Y, 2017. Geodynamics of divergent double subduction: 3-D numerical modeling of a Cenozoic example in the Molucca Sea region, Indonesia
Hall, R. (2018). The subduction initiation stage of the Wilson cycle. Geological Society,London, Special Publications, SP470.3. doi: 10.1144/sp4703.
Sadly M, Triyono R, Prasetya T, Daryono, Yatimantoro T, Anggraini S, Rahayu R H, Priyobudi, Setiyono U, Gunawan I, Yogaswara DS, Apriani M, Kriswinarso T, Julius A M, Hidayanti, Anugerah S D. (2018). Catalogue of Significant and Destructive Earthquakes in 1821-2018. BMKG Earthquake and Tsunami Center.
Asrurifak M, Irsyam, M, Budiono, B, Triyoso, W, Hendriyawan. (2010). Development of Spectral Hazard Map for Indonesia with a Return Period of 2500 Years using Probabilistic Method. Civil Engineering Dimension, Vol. 12, No. 1, March 2010, 52-62 ISSN 1410-9530 ISSN 1979-570.
Petersen, M.D., Harmsen, S.C., Jaiswal, K.S., Rukstales, K.S., Luco, N., Haller, K.M., Mueller, C.S., and Shumway, A.M., 2018, Seismic Hazard, Risk, and Design for South America: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/F7Wm1BK1.
Irsyam M, Cummins PR, Asrurifak M, Faizal F, Danny Hilman Natawidjaja DH, Widiyantoro S , Meilano I, Triyoso W, Rudiyanto A, Hidayati S, Ridwan M, Hanifa NR, and Syahbana AJ .(2020). Development of the 2017 national seismic hazard maps of Indonesia. Earthquake Spectra journals, doi: 10.1177/8755293020951206.
Idriss, I.M, (1985), Evaluating Seismic Risk Engineering Practic, Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Foundation Engineering, San Francisco, Vol. 1, 255-320
Wiemer, S., 2001. A software package to analyze seismicity: ZMAP. Seismological Research Letters, 72(3), pp.373-382, https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.72.3.373
Esri. "Topographic" [basemap]. Scale Not Given. "World Topographic Map".February19,2021.http://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=30e5fe3149c34df1ba922e6f5bbf808f. (July 26, 2021).
Frankel, A. (1995). Mapping seismic hazard in the central and eastern United States. Seismological Research Letters, 66(4), 8-21.
Triyoso W, Suwondo A, Yudistira T, and Sahara DP. (2020) Seismic Hazard Function (SHF) study of coastal sources of Sumatra Island: SHF evaluation of Padang and Bengkulu cities, Geosci. Lett. (2020) 7:2, https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-020-00151-x
Petersen, Mark D., Mueller, Charles S., Frankel, Arthur D., Zeng, Yuehua, (2008) Spatial Seismicity Rates and Maximum Magnitudes for Background Earthquakes, USGS Open-File Report.
Gutenberg, B., and Richter, C., 1944. Frequency of earhquakes in California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 34, 185–188.
Boore DM and Atkinson GM (2008) Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s. Earthquake Spectra 24(1): 99–138
Sadly M, Triyono R, Prasetya T, Daryono, Yatimantoro T, Anggraini S, Rahayu R H, Priyobudi, Setiyono U, Gunawan I, Yogaswara DS, Apriani M, Kriswinarso T, Julius A M, Hidayanti, Anugerah S D. (2018). Catalogue of Significant and Destructive Earthquakes in 1821-2018. BMKG Earthquake and Tsunami Center.
Asrurifak M, Irsyam, M, Budiono, B, Triyoso, W, Hendriyawan. (2010). Development of Spectral Hazard Map for Indonesia with a Return Period of 2500 Years using Probabilistic Method. Civil Engineering Dimension, Vol. 12, No. 1, March 2010, 52-62 ISSN 1410-9530 ISSN 1979-570.
Petersen, M.D., Harmsen, S.C., Jaiswal, K.S., Rukstales, K.S., Luco, N., Haller, K.M., Mueller, C.S., and Shumway, A.M., 2018, Seismic Hazard, Risk, and Design for South America: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/F7Wm1BK1.
Irsyam M, Cummins PR, Asrurifak M, Faizal F, Danny Hilman Natawidjaja DH, Widiyantoro S, Meilano I, Triyoso W, Rudiyanto A, Hidayati S, Ridwan M, Hanifa NR, and Syahbana AJ. (2020). Development of the 2017 national seismic hazard maps of Indonesia. Earthquake Spectra journals, doi: 10.1177/8755293020951206.
Idriss, I.M, (1985), Evaluating Seismic Risk Engineering Practic, Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Foundation Engineering, San Francisco, Vol. 1, 255-320
Wiemer, S., 2001. A software package to analyze seismicity: ZMAP. Seismological Research Letters, 72(3), pp.373-382. https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.72.3.373
Esri. "Topographic" [basemap]. Scale Not Given. "World Topographic Map". February 19, 2021. http://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=30e5fe3149c34df1ba922e6f5bbf808f. (July 26, 2021).
Frankel, A. (1995). Mapping seismic hazard in the central and eastern United States. Seismological Research Letters, 66(4), 8-21.
Triyoso W, Suwondo A, Yudistira T, and Sahara DP. (2020) Seismic Hazard Function (SHF) study of coastal sources of Sumatra Island: SHF evaluation of Padang and Bengkulu cities, Geosci. Lett. (2020) 7:2, https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-020-00151-x
Petersen, Mark D., Mueller, Charles S., Frankel, Arthur D., Zeng, Yuehua, (2008) Spatial Seismicity Rates and Maximum Magnitudes for Background Earthquakes, USGS Open-File Report.
Gutenberg, B., and Richter, C., 1944. Frequency of earhquakes in California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 34, 185–188.
Boore DM and Atkinson GM (2008) Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s. Earthquake Spectra 24(1): 99–138
Campbell KW and Bozorgnia Y (2008) NGA ground motion model for the geometric mean horizontal component of PGA, PGV, PGD and 5% damped linear elastic response spectra for periods ranging from 0.01 to 10 s. Earthquake Spectra 24(1): 139–171.
Chiou B, Darragh R, Gregor N and Silva W (2008) NGA project strongmotion database. Earthquake Spectra 24(1): 23–44.
Youngs RR, Chiou SJ, Silva WJ and Humphrey JR (1997) Strong ground motion attenuation relationships for subduction zone earthquakes. Seismological Research Letters 68(1): 58–73.
Atkinson, G.M., and Boore, D.M., 2003. Empirical ground-motion relations for subduction-zone earthquakes and their application to Cascadia and other regions. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 93(4): 1703–1729.
Atkinson, G.M., and Boore, D.M., 2007. Erratum – earthquake groundmotion prediction equations for eastern North America. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 97, 1032.
Abrahamson, N., Gregor, N. and Addo, K., 2016. BC Hydro ground motion prediction equations for subduction earthquakes. Earthquake Spectra, 32(1), pp.23-44
Zhao, J.X., Irikura, K., Zhang, J., Fukushima, Y., Somerville, P.G., Asano, A., Ohno, Y., Oouchi, T., Takahashi, T. and Ogawa, H., 2006. An empirical site-classification method for strong-motion stations in Japan using H/V response spectral ratio. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 96(3), pp.914-925.
Power MS, Coppersmith KJ, Youngs RR, Schwartz DP and dan Swan RH (1981) Seismic exposure analysis for the WNP-2 and WNP-1/4 site: Appendix 2.5K to Amendment No. 18. Final Safety Analysis Report for WNP-2, San Francisco, CA: Woodward-Clyde Consultants, p. 63.
Cornel, C.A. (1968). Engineering Seismic Risk Analysis, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. Vol 58, No.5: 1583-1606.
Harmsen, S., 2008. USGS Software for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA), Draft Document, received by hand (unpublished).
Zhang Q, Guo F, Zhao L, Wu Y, 2017. Geodynamics of divergent double subduction: 3-D numerical modeling of a Cenozoic example in the Molucca Sea region, Indonesia
Hall, R. (2018). The subduction initiation stage of the Wilson cycle. Geological Society,London, Special Publications, SP470.3. doi: 10.1144/sp4703.
Sadly M, Triyono R, Prasetya T, Daryono, Yatimantoro T, Anggraini S, Rahayu R H, Priyobudi, Setiyono U, Gunawan I, Yogaswara DS, Apriani M, Kriswinarso T, Julius A M, Hidayanti, Anugerah S D. (2018). Catalogue of Significant and Destructive Earthquakes in 1821-2018. BMKG Earthquake and Tsunami Center.
Asrurifak M, Irsyam, M, Budiono, B, Triyoso, W, Hendriyawan. (2010). Development of Spectral Hazard Map for Indonesia with a Return Period of 2500 Years using Probabilistic Method. Civil Engineering Dimension, Vol. 12, No. 1, March 2010, 52-62 ISSN 1410-9530 ISSN 1979-570.
Petersen, M.D., Harmsen, S.C., Jaiswal, K.S., Rukstales, K.S., Luco, N., Haller, K.M., Mueller, C.S., and Shumway, A.M., 2018, Seismic Hazard, Risk, and Design for South America: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/F7Wm1BK1.
Irsyam M, Cummins PR, Asrurifak M, Faizal F, Danny Hilman Natawidjaja DH, Widiyantoro S , Meilano I, Triyoso W, Rudiyanto A, Hidayati S, Ridwan M, Hanifa NR, and Syahbana AJ .(2020). Development of the 2017 national seismic hazard maps of Indonesia. Earthquake Spectra journals, doi: 10.1177/8755293020951206.
Idriss, I.M, (1985), Evaluating Seismic Risk Engineering Practic, Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Foundation Engineering, San Francisco, Vol. 1, 255-320
Wiemer, S., 2001. A software package to analyze seismicity: ZMAP. Seismological Research Letters, 72(3), pp.373-382, https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.72.3.373
Esri. "Topographic" [basemap]. Scale Not Given. "World Topographic Map".February19,2021.http://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=30e5fe3149c34df1ba922e6f5bbf808f. (July 26, 2021).
Frankel, A. (1995). Mapping seismic hazard in the central and eastern United States. Seismological Research Letters, 66(4), 8-21.
Triyoso W, Suwondo A, Yudistira T, and Sahara DP. (2020) Seismic Hazard Function (SHF) study of coastal sources of Sumatra Island: SHF evaluation of Padang and Bengkulu cities, Geosci. Lett. (2020) 7:2, https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-020-00151-x
Petersen, Mark D., Mueller, Charles S., Frankel, Arthur D., Zeng, Yuehua, (2008) Spatial Seismicity Rates and Maximum Magnitudes for Background Earthquakes, USGS Open-File Report.
Gutenberg, B., and Richter, C., 1944. Frequency of earhquakes in California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 34, 185–188.
Boore DM and Atkinson GM (2008) Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s. Earthquake Spectra 24(1): 99–138
Sadly M, Triyono R, Prasetya T, Daryono, Yatimantoro T, Anggraini S, Rahayu R H, Priyobudi, Setiyono U, Gunawan I, Yogaswara DS, Apriani M, Kriswinarso T, Julius A M, Hidayanti, Anugerah S D. (2018). Catalogue of Significant and Destructive Earthquakes in 1821-2018. BMKG Earthquake and Tsunami Center.
Asrurifak M, Irsyam, M, Budiono, B, Triyoso, W, Hendriyawan. (2010). Development of Spectral Hazard Map for Indonesia with a Return Period of 2500 Years using Probabilistic Method. Civil Engineering Dimension, Vol. 12, No. 1, March 2010, 52-62 ISSN 1410-9530 ISSN 1979-570.
Petersen, M.D., Harmsen, S.C., Jaiswal, K.S., Rukstales, K.S., Luco, N., Haller, K.M., Mueller, C.S., and Shumway, A.M., 2018, Seismic Hazard, Risk, and Design for South America: U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/F7Wm1BK1.
Irsyam M, Cummins PR, Asrurifak M, Faizal F, Danny Hilman Natawidjaja DH, Widiyantoro S, Meilano I, Triyoso W, Rudiyanto A, Hidayati S, Ridwan M, Hanifa NR, and Syahbana AJ. (2020). Development of the 2017 national seismic hazard maps of Indonesia. Earthquake Spectra journals, doi: 10.1177/8755293020951206.
Idriss, I.M, (1985), Evaluating Seismic Risk Engineering Practic, Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Soil Mechanics and Foundation Engineering, San Francisco, Vol. 1, 255-320
Wiemer, S., 2001. A software package to analyze seismicity: ZMAP. Seismological Research Letters, 72(3), pp.373-382. https://doi.org/10.1785/gssrl.72.3.373
Esri. "Topographic" [basemap]. Scale Not Given. "World Topographic Map". February 19, 2021. http://www.arcgis.com/home/item.html?id=30e5fe3149c34df1ba922e6f5bbf808f. (July 26, 2021).
Frankel, A. (1995). Mapping seismic hazard in the central and eastern United States. Seismological Research Letters, 66(4), 8-21.
Triyoso W, Suwondo A, Yudistira T, and Sahara DP. (2020) Seismic Hazard Function (SHF) study of coastal sources of Sumatra Island: SHF evaluation of Padang and Bengkulu cities, Geosci. Lett. (2020) 7:2, https://doi.org/10.1186/s40562-020-00151-x
Petersen, Mark D., Mueller, Charles S., Frankel, Arthur D., Zeng, Yuehua, (2008) Spatial Seismicity Rates and Maximum Magnitudes for Background Earthquakes, USGS Open-File Report.
Gutenberg, B., and Richter, C., 1944. Frequency of earhquakes in California. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 34, 185–188.
Boore DM and Atkinson GM (2008) Ground-motion prediction equations for the average horizontal component of PGA, PGV, and 5%-damped PSA at spectral periods between 0.01 s and 10.0 s. Earthquake Spectra 24(1): 99–138
Campbell KW and Bozorgnia Y (2008) NGA ground motion model for the geometric mean horizontal component of PGA, PGV, PGD and 5% damped linear elastic response spectra for periods ranging from 0.01 to 10 s. Earthquake Spectra 24(1): 139–171.
Chiou B, Darragh R, Gregor N and Silva W (2008) NGA project strongmotion database. Earthquake Spectra 24(1): 23–44.
Youngs RR, Chiou SJ, Silva WJ and Humphrey JR (1997) Strong ground motion attenuation relationships for subduction zone earthquakes. Seismological Research Letters 68(1): 58–73.
Atkinson, G.M., and Boore, D.M., 2003. Empirical ground-motion relations for subduction-zone earthquakes and their application to Cascadia and other regions. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 93(4): 1703–1729.
Atkinson, G.M., and Boore, D.M., 2007. Erratum – earthquake groundmotion prediction equations for eastern North America. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 97, 1032.
Abrahamson, N., Gregor, N. and Addo, K., 2016. BC Hydro ground motion prediction equations for subduction earthquakes. Earthquake Spectra, 32(1), pp.23-44
Zhao, J.X., Irikura, K., Zhang, J., Fukushima, Y., Somerville, P.G., Asano, A., Ohno, Y., Oouchi, T., Takahashi, T. and Ogawa, H., 2006. An empirical site-classification method for strong-motion stations in Japan using H/V response spectral ratio. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 96(3), pp.914-925.
Power MS, Coppersmith KJ, Youngs RR, Schwartz DP and dan Swan RH (1981) Seismic exposure analysis for the WNP-2 and WNP-1/4 site: Appendix 2.5K to Amendment No. 18. Final Safety Analysis Report for WNP-2, San Francisco, CA: Woodward-Clyde Consultants, p. 63.
Cornel, C.A. (1968). Engineering Seismic Risk Analysis, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America. Vol 58, No.5: 1583-1606.
Harmsen, S., 2008. USGS Software for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA), Draft Document, received by hand (unpublished).
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Published
2022-10-17
How to Cite
Zulkifli, M., Sriyanto, S. P. D., & Astuti, L. I. (2022). Analisis Bahaya Kegempaan Di Wilayah Provinsi Sulawesi Utara. ITB Graduate School Conference, 1(1). Retrieved from https://gcs.itb.ac.id/proceeding-igsc/index.php/igsc/article/view/51
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